Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
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