Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 50.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
-3.4) 
1.12) 
