Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 52.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coritiba would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.1) 
