Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 50.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Botafogo win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match.
0.16) 
-0.32) 
