Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.
1.99) 
-1.18) 
