Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 25.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
-1) 
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