Goias have found the net just six times on the road; Juventude seven at home, so a low-scoring draw could be on the cards. As Juve have only one win and five points on the board at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, home advantage is not likely to be a factor in the result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 45.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Goias had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.15) 
-0.03) 
