The two teams with the leakiest defences in Serie A convene on Saturday, so there are likely to be goals at either end.
Confidence from their overdue win last week can help Coritiba edge out Juve in a closely contested affair; further building an impressive points return on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 58.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
0.03) 
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