Buoyed by their cup victory, Sao Paulo will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to find their feet in the Serie A. They take on an out-of-sorts Juventude side, who have lost each of their last four outings, and we predict they will come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 13.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.74%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Juventude
63.71% ( -1.78)	22.72% ( 0.86)	13.57% ( 0.92)

Both teams to score 40% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.41% (

-1.31)

56.59% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.43% (

-1.07)

77.57% (

1.07)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.68% (

-1.07)

17.32% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.31% (

-1.91)

47.68% (

1.92)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.37% (

0.69)

51.62% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.24% (

0.46)

85.76% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 63.7%

Juventude 13.57%

Draw 22.72%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Juventude
1-0 @ 15.67% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 13.74% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.34) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.02% Total : 63.7%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 3% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.72%	0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.28% Total : 13.57%