Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.15) 
