Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
-0.45) 
0.12) 
