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Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Sep 4, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
C

Flamengo
1 - 1
Ceara

Barbosa (53')
Barbosa (45+3'), Lucas (66'), Pedro (85')
Barbosa (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jo (45')
Lacerda (35'), Paraiba (61'), Richard (82'), Vinicius (87'), Ricardo (90'), Roberto (90+4')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Ceara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-4 Flamengo
Thursday, September 1 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Ceara 0-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, August 28 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 9.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
FlamengoDrawCeara
71.93% (0.965 0.97) 18.3% (-0.38 -0.38) 9.77% (-0.582 -0.58)
Both teams to score 41.03% (-0.933 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)48.32% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.032 -0.03)70.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (0.262 0.26)12.07% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.4% (0.545 0.55)37.6% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.67% (-1.201 -1.2)53.33% (1.204 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.14% (-0.768 -0.77)86.86% (0.771 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 71.93%
    Ceara 9.77%
    Draw 18.3%
FlamengoDrawCeara
2-0 @ 14.39% (0.31 0.31)
1-0 @ 13.61% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 10.14% (0.317 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.36% (0.22 0.22)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.27% (0.115 0.12)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 71.93%
1-1 @ 8.56% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.84% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 18.3%
0-1 @ 4.05% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 2.69% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 9.77%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-4 Flamengo
Thursday, September 1 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Flamengo
Sunday, August 28 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Flamengo
Thursday, August 25 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, August 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, August 18 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 5-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, August 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 0-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, August 28 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Ceara
Sunday, August 21 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 0-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, August 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 2-1 Sao Paulo (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 10 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Ceara
Saturday, August 6 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Ceara
Wednesday, August 3 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana


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