Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 71.72%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 10.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.