The hosts have already exhibited their supremacy over the away side once, and we are backing them to do it again, albeit by a much narrower margin this time.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 43.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 28.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
-0.03) 
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