Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
