Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
-1.34) 
0.39) 
