Coritiba can ill-afford to drop too many more points if they wish to avoid becoming the whipping boys of the Brasileiro, and will view Saturday's fixture against a fellow out-of-sorts side in Santos as a good opportunity to open their account for the season.
However, Hellmann will be keen to see a response from his Santos squad following their early Copa Sudamericana exit and we can see the visitors claiming a slender victory in a closely-fought contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Santos had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.01) 
