Both teams have reeled off some solid outings of late, but we are leaning towards America, who seem to have found their form and begun gaining some momentum on home soil.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
0.22) 
-0.13) 
