Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 1-0 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
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