Corinthians do not look nearly as comfortable or confident on the road as they do at home, and they have not had much success at the Maracana, losing their last six matches played there in all competitions, finding the back of the net in only two of those games.
Flamengo have been in their share of major finals of late, and those experiences should serve as a great motivator for them to claim their first domestic title of the year and their first Copa do Brasil trophy since 2013.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.64%).
-2.35) 
0.85) 
