Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.03) 
