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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 3, 2022 at 10.45pm UK
Estádio Couto Pereira
F

Coritiba
2 - 1
Fortaleza

Gamalho (2'), Hugo (90+4')
Manga (33'), Val (42')
Mendes (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Habraao (84')
Ronald (45'), Capixaba (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Coritiba
Saturday, June 25 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Estudiantes
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Coritiba 2-2 Fortaleza

Despite a decent record at Couto Pereira over the first third of the season, Coritiba have conceded 12 times in their last six league matches, and Fortaleza can capitalise on such defensive deficiencies. They have scored twice in three of their last five outings, and can do so again to secure a point on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coritiba would win this match.

Result
CoritibaDrawFortaleza
43.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 27.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 29.2% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.94% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74% (-0.103 -0.1)57.26% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9% (-0.084 -0.08)78.1% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)26.15% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)61.22% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.92% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)35.08% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)71.82% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Coritiba 43.43%
    Fortaleza 29.2%
    Draw 27.35%
CoritibaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.25% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 43.43%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 9.17% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 29.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Coritiba
Saturday, June 25 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 4-2 Coritiba
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 0-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Coritiba
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Estudiantes
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Ceara
Thursday, June 23 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 America Mineiro
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 3-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro


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