Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
-0.11) 
0.03) 
