SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | Cruzeiro |
50.57% ( -0.11) | 24.67% ( 0.03) | 24.76% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.43% ( -0.07) | 49.57% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.4% ( -0.07) | 71.59% ( 0.07) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( -0.08) | 19.61% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.44% ( -0.12) | 51.55% ( 0.12) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( 0.03) | 34.56% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.72% ( 0.03) | 71.28% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fluminense | Draw | Cruzeiro |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 50.57% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 24.76% |
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