Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.
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