SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fenix | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Avai | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Atletico Goianiense | 10 | -5 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Cuiaba |
33.39% ( 0) | 27.92% ( -0.01) | 38.69% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.87% ( 0.03) | 58.13% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.21% ( 0.02) | 78.79% ( -0.02) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( 0.01) | 32.51% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.96% ( 0.02) | 69.04% ( -0.02) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.01) | 29.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.89% ( 0.02) | 65.11% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Cuiaba |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.39% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 38.69% |
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