SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Goias had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Goias |
60.42% ( 1.04) | 22.69% ( -0.05) | 16.89% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 47.19% ( -1.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( -1.34) | 50.93% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.2% ( -1.19) | 72.8% ( 1.19) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% ( -0.11) | 16.46% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.85% ( -0.2) | 46.15% ( 0.2) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.48% ( -2.01) | 43.52% ( 2.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.27% ( -1.72) | 79.73% ( 1.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botafogo | Draw | Goias |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.64) 2-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.53)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 60.41% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.69% | 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.62% Total : 16.89% |
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