SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 45.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 26.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Goias | Draw | Bahia |
45.74% ( 0.04) | 27.65% ( -0) | 26.61% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.58% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.51% ( -0) | 59.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.15% ( -0) | 79.85% ( 0.01) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( 0.02) | 25.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.98% ( 0.03) | 61.02% ( -0.02) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.6% ( -0.04) | 38.4% ( 0.04) |
