SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Sao Paulo |
41.52% ( 0) | 27.35% ( 0.47) | 31.13% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( -1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.47% ( -1.92) | 56.53% ( 1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.48% ( -1.58) | 77.52% ( 1.57) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( -0.89) | 26.82% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% ( -1.18) | 62.11% ( 1.18) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( -1.33) | 33.26% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.12% ( -1.49) | 69.87% ( 1.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.64)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.13% |
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