Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
-0) 
0)
