Goias' respectable defensive performances in recent matches were not continued as they conceded six to Bahia last time out, and we are expecting the hosts to struggle to contain the firepower of Sao Paulo.
Rodriguez and company will be confident of extending their unbeaten run in Brasileiro to four matches on Wednesday night, and all signs point towards maximum points for the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Goias had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
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