Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
-0.41) 
0.43) 
