Despite their satisfactory record against Nacional, Internacional's plethora of absentees will have their Uruguayan hosts licking their lips at the prospect of revenge, especially with Gutierrez's side on top form in front of their own fans.
Menezes's team have left a lot to be desired on the road too, so a shake-up in the standings should be in order this week, as Nacional take a giant step towards the knockout rounds while possibly dropping Internacional down to third spot with a hard-fought success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
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