Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Internacional win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
0.19) 
-0.09) 
