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Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Palestra Italia
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Palmeiras
2 - 1
Internacional

Gomez (18'), Menino (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alemao (82')
Menezes (37'), Gabriel (41')

We said: Palmeiras 2-1 Internacional

While Internacional will be looking to snap their winless run on the road, they have failed to taste victory in their last nine visits to the Allianz Parque. Palmeiras head into the weekend in superb form and we are backing them to extend their fine record against the visitors and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 63.33%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 14.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Palmeiras in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.

Result
PalmeirasDrawInternacional
63.33% (-0.375 -0.38) 22% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 14.67% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 44.48% (0.482 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (0.258 0.26)51.97% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (0.222 0.22)73.71% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.17% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)15.83% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.98% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)45.02% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.85% (0.595 0.59)47.15% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.4% (0.444 0.44)82.6% (-0.44500000000001 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 63.31%
    Internacional 14.67%
    Draw 21.99%
PalmeirasDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 13.75% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 12.67% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.79% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.86% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.59% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 63.31%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.99%
0-1 @ 5.61% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.89% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.11% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 0.98% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 14.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-1 Palmeiras
Friday, July 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Cuiaba
Tuesday, July 19 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo (3-4 pen.)
Friday, July 15 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 5-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 3 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-3 Sao Paulo
Thursday, July 21 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-0 Internacional
Saturday, July 16 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 America Mineiro
Tuesday, July 12 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 4-1 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-0 Internacional
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana


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