Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.43) 
