SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Sao Paulo |
56.25% ( 0.02) | 23.13% ( -0.01) | 20.62% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.52% ( 0.02) | 47.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( 0.02) | 69.69% ( -0.02) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.31% ( 0.01) | 16.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.43% ( 0.02) | 46.56% ( -0.02) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( -0) | 37.27% ( -0) |
