Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.49) 
