Santos have proven to be a tough team to beat on home turf in recent games, and after winning their previous two home group games, we think that the hosts will avenge their matchday one defeat to Banfield on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
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