SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 75.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 9.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.01%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Coritiba |
75.65% ( 0.57) | 15.22% ( -0.25) | 9.13% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 49.09% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.82% ( 0.13) | 36.18% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.71% ( 0.14) | 58.29% ( -0.14) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92% ( 0.16) | 8% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.79% ( 0.39) | 28.21% ( -0.39) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.36% ( -0.58) | 46.63% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.79% ( -0.45) | 82.21% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palmeiras | Draw | Coritiba |
| 2-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 75.65% | 1-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.84% Total : 15.22% | 0-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 9.13% |
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