Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Avai had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Avai win it was 1-0 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
0.17) 
-0.02) 
