With the hosts failing to win any of their last five home games, and the visitors unbeaten in their last fifteen away, it is hard to look past the runaway league leaders for this one.
It will not be so straightforward due to missing key players, but the quality of Gustavo Scarpa should be enough to take Palmeiras one step closer to another league title.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
2.22) 
-0.57) 
