Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
-0.24) 
0.02) 
