Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Santos had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Santos win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
-0.14) 
0.2) 
