Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.41%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
0.88) 
-0.39) 
