Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
-0.41) 
0.6) 
