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Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 17, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Comendador Agostinho Prada
AM

Fortaleza
1 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Marinho (15')
Pacheco (53'), Lopes (90+14')
Marinho (59'), Tinga (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vera (48')
Palacios (60'), Vitor Monteiro (82'), da Silva Maia (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 3-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 5 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 2-0 Atletico Mineiro

Fortaleza always seem to get the job done at home, and their opponents will be without two of their biggest attacking weapons in Hulk and Deyverson, which should make life a lot easier for the home team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 47.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawAtletico Mineiro
47.89% (1.288 1.29) 27.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.78% (-1.281 -1.28)
Both teams to score 45.01% (-1.018 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.5% (-0.776 -0.78)59.49% (0.779 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.15% (-0.599 -0.6)79.85% (0.601 0.6)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (0.27199999999999 0.27)24.94% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (0.378 0.38)59.58% (-0.375 -0.38)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (-1.579 -1.58)40.03% (1.581 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (-1.477 -1.48)76.68% (1.48 1.48)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 47.89%
    Atletico Mineiro 24.78%
    Draw 27.33%
FortalezaDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 13.86% (0.51 0.51)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.424 0.42)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 47.89%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.98% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.291 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.244 -0.24)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 24.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gremio 3-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 5 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-1 Bahia
Sunday, September 22 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, September 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, September 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Gremio
Wednesday, October 9 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-2 Vitoria
Saturday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Vasco
Wednesday, October 2 at 11.15pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Fluminense
Wednesday, September 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Bragantino
Sunday, September 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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