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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
VB

Augsburg
1 - 0
VfL Bochum

Tietz (38' pen.)
Claude-Maurice (17'), Wolf (26'), Mounie (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wittek (68'), Ordets (72'), Hecking (73'), Bernardo (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Augsburg
Friday, November 22 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 3-1 VfL Bochum

Despite losing last time out, Augsburg are in good overall form and boast an excellent record at home. Additionally, considering Bochum are yet to win any match this season, it would be surprising if they left WWK Arena with any points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 53.92%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawVfL Bochum
53.92% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 22.24% (-0.081 -0.08) 23.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.65% (0.292 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.24% (0.381 0.38)39.76% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.88% (0.396 0.4)62.12% (-0.399 -0.4)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.154 0.15)14.76% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (0.296 0.3)43.01% (-0.299 -0.3)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (0.214 0.21)30.02% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (0.258 0.26)66.14% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 53.92%
    VfL Bochum 23.83%
    Draw 22.24%
AugsburgDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 53.92%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 23.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Augsburg
Friday, November 22 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, November 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 3-0 Schalke
Tuesday, October 29 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Dortmund
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 7-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-5 Bayern
Sunday, October 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-3 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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