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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 22, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
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Bayern
3 - 0
Augsburg

Kane (63' pen., 90+3' pen., 90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, November 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Augsburg

While Bayern have only won by narrow margins in their last two games, they have been rampant in front of goal all season, and it would not be surprising if they netted multiple times. Given the hosts will not be able to select a specialist defensive midfielder, Augsburg could create chances in transition, but the Bavarians should still come into Friday's clash as strong favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 83.36%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 5.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 4-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.78%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
83.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 10.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.59% (0.030999999999992 0.03)24.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.86% (0.039000000000001 0.04)44.14% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)4.2% (-0.0071000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)17.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.62% (0.014000000000003 0.01)45.38% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.76% (0.012 0.01)81.23% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 83.36%
    Augsburg 5.99%
    Draw 10.65%
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
3-0 @ 10.12%
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
4-0 @ 8.02% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 8%
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 6.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 5.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
5-1 @ 4.02% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 2.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.5% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-1 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.59% (0.0029999999999999 0)
7-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
7-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 83.36%
1-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 2.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 10.65%
1-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 5.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Benfica
Wednesday, November 6 at 8.15pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-5 Bayern
Sunday, October 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Barcelona 4-1 Bayern
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Augsburg 0-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, November 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 3-0 Schalke
Tuesday, October 29 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Dortmund
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


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