SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.59%) and 1-0 (5.32%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | VfL Bochum |
45.34% ( 0.62) | 21.68% ( 0.05) | 32.97% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 69.33% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.78% ( -0.53) | 30.21% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.55% ( -0.64) | 51.44% ( 0.64) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.84% ( 0) | 14.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.16% ( 0.01) | 41.83% ( -0.02) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% ( -0.58) | 19.23% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.06% ( -0.97) | 50.94% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.34% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.07)3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.38% Total : 32.97% |
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