SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Augsburg.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
37.81% ( -0.54) | 25.08% ( -0.05) | 37.1% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 57.46% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( 0.26) | 46.03% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.66% ( 0.24) | 68.34% ( -0.25) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( -0.17) | 24% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.74% ( -0.24) | 58.25% ( 0.24) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( 0.44) | 24.38% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% ( 0.62) | 58.79% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.1% |
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