Leverkusen's head-to-head record against Hertha is poor, but the hosts will head into Saturday's fixture as they favourites, given there are 13 places and 22 points separating the two teams at present. Seoane will be without a number of key players, but his team should still have enough quality within their ranks to secure a slender victory at the BayArena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.14%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 3-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hertha Berlin
74.14%	15.14%	10.71%

Both teams to score 56.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.65%

30.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.39%

51.61%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.04%

6.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.48%

25.51%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.6%

39.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.91%

76.09%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 74.14%

Hertha Berlin 10.71%

Draw 15.14%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 8.06% 1-0 @ 7.31% 4-0 @ 5.77% 4-1 @ 5.37% 3-2 @ 3.76% 5-0 @ 3.07% 5-1 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 2.5% 6-0 @ 1.37% 5-2 @ 1.33% 6-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 4% Total : 74.14%	1-1 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.23% 0-0 @ 2.74% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.14%	1-2 @ 3.17% 0-1 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-2 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.5% Total : 10.71%